Travel sector opportunity matrix
If you were evaluating new business opportunities in travel, in which bucket would you place these various travel sub-verticals?

Definition:

Structurally positive means that something has finally caught on—there’s no going back to the older, worse, more expensive alternative. This is a potentially good investment opportunity.

Ephemerally negative: consumption has been rendered challenging for the time being, but there is a lot of latent demand which will be soaked up once activity returns. This is a potentially good investment opportunity.

Ephemerally positive: under the mistaken assumption that the euphoria for something temporary carries over into permanence. A one time boost as opposed to a long term change of habits. This is a potentially bad investment opportunity.

Structural negative.  Negative long term perspective, with no likelihood of improving. This is a potentially bad investment opportunity.
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Please place each into the bucket you think it belongs to (respond to any or all)
Structurally positive (best investments)
Ephemerally negative (best investments)
Ephemerally positive (potentially bad investment)
Structurally negative (potentially bad investment)
Metasearches
Travel + insurance
Low cost airlines
NDC
Touchless / contactless
Traditional TMC
Event tech
Trade shows
Biometrics
Hotels
Cruises
Bus
Tours and Activities
Travel + healthcare
Private aviation
Legacy airlines
TMC Tech
Train
Airport tech
Alternative accommodations
Online Travel Agencies
Campers and Recreational Vehicles
Nomadic travel / services
Traditional agencies
Outdoor travel
Business travel
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