Exploring scenario 1: Local and sustainable – for those who can afford it
(Few challenges to voluntary measures, significant challenges to mandatory measures)
Scenario 1: Local and sustainable – for those who can afford it
Evaluation of Scenario 1
Scenario 1: The developments in the scenario should be logical, so the causal relationships between events needs to make sense; events naturally follow from assumptions that were made. Does this scenario provide a logical sequence of events?
Clear selection
Scenario 1: The scenario content needs to represent considerable change to the current situation and what is expected for our future; it should not provide a most likely future but explore the limits of what could happen. Is this scenario extreme enough?
Clear selection
Exploring scenario 2: Under Pressure
(Few challenges to mandatory measures, significant challenges to voluntary measures)
Under Pressure
Evaluation of Scenario 2
Scenario 2: The developments in the scenario should be logical, so the causal relationships between events needs to make sense; events naturally follow from assumptions that were made. Does this scenario provide a logical sequence of events?
Clear selection
Scenario 2: The scenario content needs to represent considerable change to the current situation and what is expected for our future; it should not provide a most likely future but explore the limits of what could happen. Is this scenario extreme enough?
Clear selection
Exploring scenario 3: Race to the bottom
(Significant challenges to both mandatory and voluntary measures)
Scenario 3: Race to the bottom
Evaluation of Scenario 3
Scenario 3: The developments in the scenario should be logical, so the causal relationships between events needs to make sense; events naturally follow from assumptions that were made. Does the scenario provide a logical sequence of events?
Clear selection
Scenario 3: The scenario content needs to represent considerable change to the current situation and what is expected for our future; it should not provide a most likely future but explore the limits of what could happen. Is this scenario extreme enough?
Clear selection
Exploring scenario 4: Caring and sharing
(Few challenges to both voluntary and mandatory measures)
Scenario 4: Caring and sharing
Evaluation of Scenario 4
Scenario 4: The developments in the scenario should be logical, so the causal relationships between events needs to make sense; events naturally follow from assumptions that were made. Does this scenario provide a logical sequence of events?
Clear selection
Scenario 4: The scenario content needs to represent considerable change to the current situation and what is expected for our future; it should not provide a most likely future but explore the limits of what could happen. Is this scenario extreme enough?