Bayesian Decision Analysis Quiz 1

For the term in each row, select the correct notation from the columns.

4 points

P(H | D)

P(D | H)

P(D)

P(H)

Prior

Posterior

Likelihood

Total probability of the data

Clear selection

According to the law of total probability, the sum of the unnormalized posteriors is the

1 point

Posterior probability

Normalized posterior

Probability of the data

Normalized prior

Clear selection

When you solved the cookie problem with 5 bowls, what was the posterior probability for Bowl 3 (the one with 75% vanilla cookies)?

1 point

0.15

0.2

0.3

0.75

Clear selection