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FTX Fraud Poll Nov 2023
For context, see
https://manifold.markets/jack/will-we-believe-sbf-committed-willf
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What do you believe was the probability that SBF committed willful fraud in the FTX collapse? Answer in a percentage from 0% to 100%, without the % sign.
By answering, you agree to answer with your honest beliefs.
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Your answer
Your Manifold username. (Will not be shared. May be used to verify poll responses are real.)
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Your answer
How familiar would you say you are with the FTX collapse?
Not at all familiar
0
1
2
3
4
5
Extremely familiar
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(Optional) Can you give an idea or example of what the minimum bar for willful fraud would be, in your mind? Can be general or specific.
Your answer
(Optional) Here's a textbox if you want to talk about your reasoning or leave any comments.
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